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| #541331 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 08.Sep.2012) TCMAT3 HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 42.3W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 42.3W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 42.2W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.6N 42.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.9N 43.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.0N 44.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 34.5N 45.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 41.0N 48.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 50.0N 44.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 42.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
