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#541566 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 09.Sep.2012) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1500 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 62.4W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT.......170NE 150SE 130SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 240SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 62.4W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 62.5W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.6N 62.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 0SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 36.3N 60.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 40SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 40.2N 59.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 46.5N 55.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...220NE 220SE 160SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 58.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 90NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 62.0N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...MERGED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 62.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |