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#541638 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 09.Sep.2012) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 500 PM AST SUN SEP 09 2012 ...MICHAEL MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD... ...MAINTAINING A LARGE-SIZED EYE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.6N 43.8W ABOUT 990 MI...1590 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST. MICHAEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND MICHAEL COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |