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| #541691 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 PM 09.Sep.2012) TCMAT3 HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 0300 UTC MON SEP 10 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 44.4W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 44.4W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 44.1W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.8N 45.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.8N 47.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.3N 48.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 40.9N 46.9W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 48.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 44.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS |
