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#541694 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:02 PM 09.Sep.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1100 PM AST SUN SEP 09 2012 ...LESLIE CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA AND COULD AFFECT NEWFOUNDLAND BY MONDAY NIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.4N 61.8W ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESLIE. A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST. LESLIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA THIS EVENING. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NEWFOUNDLAND BY TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND LESLIE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS BY TUESDAY. LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A TRANSFORMATION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL OR FRONTAL CYCLONE AS IT APPROACHES NEWFOUNDLAND. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA... THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION. RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE INCH OR LESS ON BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |