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| #541776 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 AM 10.Sep.2012) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 0900 UTC MON SEP 10 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO STONES COVE * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM FOGO ISLAND TO CHARLOTTETOWN A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 61.2W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 140SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 240SW 280NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 61.2W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 61.6W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 38.8N 59.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 44.5N 56.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...220NE 240SE 180SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 51.9N 50.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 270SE 250SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 58.5N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 180SE 180SW 60NW. 34 KT...210NE 360SE 300SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 63.0N 20.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 240SE 240SW 60NW. 34 KT... 60NE 360SE 300SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.7N 61.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
