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| #541828 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:02 AM 10.Sep.2012) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1500 UTC MON SEP 10 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOR TO TRITON. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 60.2W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 140SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 360SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 60.2W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 60.8W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 41.4N 58.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 48.0N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...220NE 240SE 180SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 55.0N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 270SE 250SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 60.5N 38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 180SE 180SW 60NW. 34 KT...210NE 360SE 300SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.0N 60.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
