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| #541848 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:02 PM 10.Sep.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESLIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 45A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 200 PM AST MON SEP 10 2012 ...LESLIE RACING TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.5N 59.8W ABOUT 650 MI...1050 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.8 WEST. LESLIE HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/H. THIS GENERAL HEADING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THE CENTER OF LESLIE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND ON TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE LESLIE MOVES OVER NEWFOUNDLAND...AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL OR FRONTAL CYCLONE AS IT APPROACHES THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA... THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION. RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND AND EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH LESLIE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
