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| #541892 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 PM 10.Sep.2012) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 2100 UTC MON SEP 10 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 59.1W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 30 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......200NE 180SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 360SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 59.1W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 59.8W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 44.4N 56.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 51.5N 51.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 58.0N 42.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 62.5N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...180NE 240SE 210SW 180NW. 34 KT...360NE 420SE 480SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 62.5N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 240SE 300SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 420SE 480SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N 59.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
