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| #541893 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 10.Sep.2012) TCMAT3 HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 2100 UTC MON SEP 10 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 47.6W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 47.6W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 47.1W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.2N 48.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 39.8N 47.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 44.2N 44.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 49.6N 38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 150SE 90SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...ABOSORBED BY A FRONT EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 47.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
