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| #541947 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 PM 10.Sep.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 47 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1100 PM AST MON SEP 10 2012 ...LESLIE PROGRESSING RAPIDLY TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND... ...OUTER RAINBANDS BRUSHING EXTREME EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA AND SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.7N 57.5W ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST. LESLIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE SHOULD MOVE OVER EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND TUESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THE WEATHER WILL STEADILY DETERIORATE LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ONLY SMALL CHANGES IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED BEFORE LESLIE MOVES OVER NEWFOUNDLAND...AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL OR FRONTAL CYCLONE IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES... 335 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS SHOULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA... PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST...AND THE CANADIAN ATLANTIC PROVINCES FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION. RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND AND EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH LESLIE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
