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| #541951 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:32 PM 10.Sep.2012) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.7N 57.5W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 35 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 140SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 325SE 380SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.7N 57.5W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.1N 58.5W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 47.6N 54.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 54.2N 47.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 59.8N 38.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 62.5N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...180NE 240SE 210SW 180NW. 34 KT...360NE 420SE 480SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 62.5N 10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 240SE 300SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 420SE 480SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.7N 57.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
