Show Selection: |
#542160 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 11.Sep.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012 2100 UTC TUE SEP 11 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 43.8W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 43.8W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 43.3W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.5N 45.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 19.9N 47.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 21.4N 50.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 23.2N 52.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 27.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 30.0N 52.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 31.5N 49.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 43.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |