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| #54223 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 27.Oct.2005) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL262005 0900Z THU OCT 27 2005 AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH IN ADDITION TO THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALREADY IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE BORDER WITH COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS NEAR THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND ADJACENT ISLANDS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 81.8W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 81.8W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 81.7W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 11.8N 82.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 12.5N 82.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 12.8N 83.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 13.0N 83.6W...ON COAST OF NICARAGUA MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.0N 85.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 81.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z FORECASTER KNABB |
