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| #542986 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 15.Sep.2012) TCMAT4 HURRICANE NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012 1500 UTC SAT SEP 15 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 49.9W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......160NE 160SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 240SE 210SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 49.9W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 50.7W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 31.0N 47.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 40SE 10SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.9N 44.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 31.0N 40.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 170SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 31.7N 37.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 170SE 120SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.0N 33.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 160SE 130SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 36.5N 31.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 37.0N 31.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 49.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
