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| #54475 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 28.Oct.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BETA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2005 ...CENTER OF BETA NEAR PROVIDENCIA...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... AT 5 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS NEAR THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND ADJACENT ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF PROVIDENCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF NICARAGUA SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO THE BORDER WITH COSTA RICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS NEAR THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR JUST EAST OF THE ISLAND OF PROVIDENCIA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 70 MILES... 110 KM... NORTHEAST OF SAN ANDRES ISLAND AND ABOUT 160 MILES... 260 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. BETA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE ISLAND OF PROVIDENCIA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND BETA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES... 65 KM FROM THE CENTER. REPORTS FROM PROVIDENICA RELAYED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF COLOMBIA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE OCCURRING ON THE ISLAND. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ON PROVIDENCIA AS THE CENTER OF BETA PASSES NEARBY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 13 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM BETA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS...NICARAGUA... SAN ANDRES ...AND PROVIDENCIA... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...13.3 N... 81.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
