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#545095 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 23.Sep.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012 1500 UTC SUN SEP 23 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 25.6W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 600SW 600NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 25.6W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 25.4W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.7N 26.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.0N 27.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.4N 28.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.5N 30.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 30.9N 31.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 30.5N 33.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 32.5N 36.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 25.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |