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| #54710 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:55 AM 30.Oct.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE BETA ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM EST SUN OCT 30 2005 ...HURRICANE BETA REACHES CATEGORY THREE INTENSITY WITH 115 MPH WINDS JUST OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA... ...CENTER EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS NEAR THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND ADJACENT ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF NICARAGUA SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO THE BORDER WITH COSTA RICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO WEST OF PUNTA PATUCA...INCLUDING LA CEIBA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES... 225 KM... SOUTH OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER AND ABOUT 70 MILES... 110 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. BETA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH... 13 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND THEN PROCEED INLAND LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BETA IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF NICARAGUA... AND BETA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE THRESHOLD BETWEEN CATEGORY TWO AND THREE INTENSITY. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. ALTHOUGH POWERFUL... BETA IS A SMALL HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM... FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 12 TO 17 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. HURRICANE BETA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WITH TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST FOR SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA WHERE ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS COULD APPROACH 25 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...13.0 N... 83.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM EST. FORECASTER KNABB |
