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| #54770 (Received by flhurricane at: 12:43 PM 30.Oct.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE BETA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EST SUN OCT 30 2005 ...BETA SPREADING RAINS OVER NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS NEAR THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND ADJACENT ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO THE BORDER WITH COSTA RICA. THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED THIS AFTERNOON. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 PM EST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR INLAND ABOUT 50 MILES... 80 KM... NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA. BETA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR. A GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THIS TRACK WILL TAKE THE CENTER FARTHER INLAND OVER NICARAGUA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS CONTINUE TO DECREASE AND ARE NOW ESTIMATED NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BETA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. BETA IS EXPECTED WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON...AND THE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER NICARAGUA BY TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE BETA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA...WHERE ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 1 PM EST POSITION...12.7 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM EST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
