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| #54793 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:31 PM 30.Oct.2005) TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM BETA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM EST SUN OCT 30 2005 BETA CONTINUES TO PUSH FARTHER INLAND WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATED TO BE 260/6. LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE NORTHWEST OF BETA SHOULD KEEP THE CYCLONE ON A PATH A LITTLE SOUTH OF WEST UNTIL THE CIRCULATION DISSIPATES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN NICARAGUA. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THERE COULD BE SOME REGENERATION AFTER THE REMNANTS OF BETA ENTER THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BASIN TOMORROW. EVEN THOUGH BETA IS WEAKENING...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE OVER NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...AND EL SALVADOR FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/2100Z 12.7N 84.4W 55 KT...INLAND 12HR VT 31/0600Z 12.2N 85.7W 35 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED |
