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#5486 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:32 PM 17.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 2100Z TUE AUG 17 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 40.5W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 40.5W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 40.4W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 28.0N 41.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.0N 40.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.0N 39.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 33.5N 37.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 34.5N 36.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 38.0N 30.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 46.0N 20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 40.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA |