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#549538 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 12.Oct.2012) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PATTY ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162012 1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE EN ROUTE TO PATTY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.5N 72.0W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM ENE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PATTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. PATTY IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWING BY A MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PATTY COULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW BEFORE SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |