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| #551855 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 22.Oct.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012 2100 UTC MON OCT 22 2012 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 51.7W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 51.7W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 51.7W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.7N 51.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.4N 51.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 26.7N 49.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.7N 47.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.0N 40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 33.5N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 51.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
