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| #551860 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:59 PM 22.Oct.2012) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012 2100 UTC MON OCT 22 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR HAITI. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JAMAICA * HAITI A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH AND/OR A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA TONIGHT. INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 78.5W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 78.5W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 78.4W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.6N 78.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.9N 78.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.4N 77.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.2N 77.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.0N 76.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 60SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 25.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 27.5N 74.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 78.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
