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| #552031 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 23.Oct.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012 1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 51.0W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 51.0W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 51.2W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.7N 50.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.8N 48.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 28.5N 45.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.5N 43.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 32.5N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 38.0N 33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 51.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
