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| #552092 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 23.Oct.2012) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012 2100 UTC TUE OCT 23 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND... BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JAMAICA * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAITI A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE BAHAMAS A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 77.6W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 77.6W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 77.7W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.7N 77.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.9N 77.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.3N 76.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.8N 76.9W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 80SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.3N 76.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT...300NE 240SE 100SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 29.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 32.0N 69.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 77.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
