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| #552148 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 PM 23.Oct.2012) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012 0300 UTC WED OCT 24 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JAMAICA * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAITI * THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 77.2W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 77.2W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 77.3W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.7N 77.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N 76.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 80SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.7N 76.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.3N 76.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 90SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 27.0N 76.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...300NE 270SE 120SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 30.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 33.0N 68.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 77.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
