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| #552202 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 24.Oct.2012) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012 0900 UTC WED OCT 24 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTH AND WEST TO FLAMINGO...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO CRAIG KEY. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JAMAICA * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAITI * THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS * FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM JUPITER INLET TO FLAMINGO * FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY * FLORIDA BAY A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATER THIS MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 77.0W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 45SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 45SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 77.0W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 77.1W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.9N 76.8W...NEAR JAMAICA MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.6N 76.5W...INLAND EASTERN CUBA MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.3N 76.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 120SE 60SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.7N 76.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 120SE 90SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 28.2N 76.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...300NE 270SE 120SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 31.0N 73.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 33.4N 70.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 77.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
