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| #552203 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 24.Oct.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM TONY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012 0900 UTC WED OCT 24 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 47.9W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 47.9W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 48.6W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.5N 45.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 70SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 29.7N 42.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 70SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.7N 38.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 70SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 31.9N 35.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 90SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 36.0N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 30SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 47.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS |
