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#552546 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 25.Oct.2012) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TONY ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012 1100 AM AST THU OCT 25 2012 ...TONY EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.0N 36.3W ABOUT 715 MI...1155 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TONY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.3 WEST. TONY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TONY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY...AND SHOULD BE ABSORBED BY A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHEAST ATLANTIC BY SATURDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |