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| #56867 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:34 AM 15.Nov.2005) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005 ...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED... INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 66.4 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES... 425 KM... SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. MOST OF THE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION IS OCCURRING IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO... AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN AREAS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS COULD LEAD TO LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.6 N... 66.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER PASCH |
