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| #57519 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:52 PM 18.Nov.2005) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272005 0300Z SAT NOV 19 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE AND FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO PUNTA ALLEN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 85.8W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 85.8W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 85.7W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.8N 86.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.4N 86.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 35SE 35SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.8N 87.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 35SE 35SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.8N 85.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 35SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 25.0N 81.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 34.0N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 85.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z FORECASTER KNABB |
