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| #57595 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:34 AM 19.Nov.2005) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GAMMA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 9 AM CST SAT NOV 19 2005 ...GAMMA RE-LOCATED SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTHEAST...MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN... AT 9 AM CST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF BELIZE SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE MEXICO BORDER...AND FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO PUNTA GRUESA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA NORTHWARD TO TULUM. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA. AT 9 AM CST...1500Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GAMMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES... 255 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BELIZE CITY AND ABOUT 255 MILES... 415 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TULUM MEXICO. GAMMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. TROPICAL STORM GAMMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN BELIZE AND THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAIN BANDS TRAILING GAMMA COULD CAUSE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA. REPEATING THE 9 AM CST POSITION...16.8 N... 85.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT NOON CST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 3 PM CST. FORECASTER BEVEN |
