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| #57636 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:37 PM 19.Nov.2005) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GAMMA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 3 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2005 ...DISORGANIZED GAMMA DRIFTING ERRATICALLY OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS. AT 3 PM CST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE. ALSO AT 3 PM CST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 3 PM CST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GAMMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES... 345 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BELIZE CITY AND ABOUT 45 MILES... 70 KM...NORTHEAST OF LIMON HONDURAS. GAMMA IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY NORTHWARD. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS NOW APPEAR UNFAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. SOME GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM-FORCE MAY OCCUR OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN HONDURAS TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. TROPICAL STORM GAMMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. RAIN BANDS SOUTH OF GAMMA COULD CAUSE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER BELIZE AND THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. REPEATING THE 3 PM CST POSITION...16.3 N... 85.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...DRIFTING NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 6 PM CST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 9 PM CST. FORECASTER BEVEN |
