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| #57691 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:20 AM 20.Nov.2005) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GAMMA ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2005 ...DISORGANIZED GAMMA WEAKENING AS IT MEANDERS OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS. THIS WARNING MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GAMMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES... 120 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 220 MILES... 350 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BELIZE CITY. GAMMA IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH ... 4 KM/HR. A CONTINUED SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER... SOME ERRATIC MOTION WILL BE POSSIBLE SINCE STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND GAMMA COULD WEAKEN INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES... 165 KM ...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER... SOME GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE COULD STILL OCCUR OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF GAMMA. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. TROPICAL STORM GAMMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF CUBA AND OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. RAIN BANDS SOUTH OF GAMMA COULD CAUSE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA. REPEATING THE 4 AM EST POSITION...16.7 N... 85.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM EST. FORECASTER STEWART |
