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| #5822 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 AM 21.Aug.2004) TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2004 THE DEPRESSION CONSISTS OF A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. QUICKSCAT SHOWS THAT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS STILL ESTABLISHED WITH ONE MAXIMUM WIND VECTOR OF 25 KNOTS. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THEREFORE THE CYCLONE SHOULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY. THE CIRCULATION IS DRIFTING WESTWARD...ABOUT 3 KNOTS. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE REMNANT LOW WILL LIKELY BE ABSORBED BY THE FRONT BY 72 HOURS. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER UNLESS REGENERATON OCCURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/1500Z 30.7N 39.1W 25 KT 12HR VT 22/0000Z 30.7N 39.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 22/1200Z 31.5N 40.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 23/0000Z 32.5N 41.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 23/1200Z 34.5N 43.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 24/1200Z 40.0N 44.0W 20 KT...ABSORBED BY A FRONT |
