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| #59434 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:40 PM 01.Dec.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292005 2100Z THU DEC 01 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 51.0W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..550NE 500SE 500SW 550NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 51.0W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 51.4W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.7N 49.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 34.1N 48.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 35.3N 46.3W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.4N 44.6W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 38.5N 40.2W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 41.0N 35.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 42.5N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 51.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART |
