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| #605336 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 06.Jun.2013) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 500 PM EDT THU JUN 06 2013 ...ANDREA ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...RAINS AND WINDS TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U. S. COAST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.5N 83.4W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM NNW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER * FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST. ANDREA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION SHORTLY. AFTER LANDFALL...ANDREA WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH SATURDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE STORM SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL...AND ANDREA SHOULD LOSE ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY SATURDAY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION AT CEDAR KEY FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED 10-MINUTE WINDS OF 41 MPH...67 KM/HR...AND A GUST OF 56 MPH...91 KM/HR. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD TO AUCILLA RIVER...2 TO 4 FT FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY...1 TO 2 FT FLAGLER BEACH NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...1 TO 2 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA LANDFALL LOCATION. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE... AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...EASTERN PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD FROM EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH DOWNEAST MAINE. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND IN THE COASTAL PORTIONS OF GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND NORTH CAROLINA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
