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| #605419 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:47 PM 06.Jun.2013) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANDREA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 800 PM EDT THU JUN 06 2013 ...ANDREA MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA... ...WIND AND RAIN SPREADING NORTHWARD WELL AHEAD OF THE CENTER... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.8N 83.0W ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM NNE OF CROSS CITY FLORIDA ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM W OF GAINESVILLE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER * FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER NORTH FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.0 WEST. ANDREA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA OVERNIGHT...AND THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND ANDREA SHOULD LOSE ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY SATURDAY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. CEDAR KEY FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 43 MPH...69 KM/H. NOAA BUOY 41012 LOCATED 45 MILES EAST OF SAINT AUGUSTINE FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 42 MPH... 68 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. CROSS CITY FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 993.4 MB...29.33 IN. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... FLAGLER BEACH NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...1 TO 2 FT WATERS LEVELS ARE FALLING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA. HOWEVER PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW COULD CAUSE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE OVERNIGHT. THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SURGE- RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...EASTERN PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD FROM EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH DOWNEAST MAINE. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THIS EVENING IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND NORTH CAROLINA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
