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#605649 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 07.Jun.2013) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 1100 AM EDT FRI JUN 07 2013 ...ANDREA ABOUT TO MOVE INTO NORTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.4N 79.5W ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SW OF FAYETTEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM W OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST. ANDREA IS MOVING MORE QUICKLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/H... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST SHOULD OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM EAST OF THE CENTER. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 46 MPH...74 KM/H...AND A GUST OF 53 MPH...85 KM/H WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT THE OCEAN CREST PIER ON OAK ISLAND NORTH CAROLINA. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES FROM CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD INTO COASTAL MAINE. ADDITIONAL RAIN TOTALS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS MORNING WHICH COULD BRING STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THOSE AREAS. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... NORTH CAROLINA AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...1 TO 2 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SURGE- RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA TODAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG/BEVEN |