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| #608503 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:02 AM 17.Jun.2013) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013 1100 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS... ...APPROACHING COAST OF BELIZE... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.2N 87.6W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON. THE DEPRESSION COULD EMERGE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE DEPRESSION MOVES OVER LAND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY IF THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA... NORTHERN HONDURAS AND THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
