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| #609421 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 20.Jun.2013) TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013 400 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2013 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT BARRY HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE WELL INLAND OVER MEXICO. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE IN THE AREA SUGGEST THAT THE WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 30 KNOTS...AND MOST OF THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN RAINBANDS OVER WATER EAST OF THE CENTER. THE CIRCULATION IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD AT ABOUT 5 TO 10 KNOTS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AND WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. DESPITE THE WEAKENING...THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS OVER THE STATE OF VERACRUZ AND ADJACENT STATES FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/2100Z 19.6N 97.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 21/0600Z 19.6N 98.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
