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| #609502 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 20.Jun.2013) TCDAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BARRY DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013 1000 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2013 SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF BARRY IS LOSING DEFINITION AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN MEXICO. IN ADDITION...THERE IS NO ORGANIZED CONVECTION REMAINING NEAR THE CENTER. BASED ON THIS...BARRY IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE DEGENERATED TO A LOW PRESSURE AREA. THE LOW WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 12-18 HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING COMPLETELY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/5...AND A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION SHOULD PERSIST UNTIL DISSIPATION. WHILE THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON BARRY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...THE REMNANTS OF THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS OVER THE STATE OF VERACRUZ AND ADJACENT STATES FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0300Z 19.6N 98.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 21/1200Z 19.6N 99.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
