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| #6117 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:30 PM 25.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004 0300Z THU AUG 26 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 41.7W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 41.7W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 41.1W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 12.5N 43.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 13.5N 46.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.5N 47.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.3N 51.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 20.5N 56.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 41.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH |
