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| #6147 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 26.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004 1500Z THU AUG 26 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 45.0W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 65NE 50SE 50SW 65NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 45.0W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 44.3W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.0N 47.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.2N 49.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 65SE 65SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.4N 51.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 52.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 55NE 55SE 55SW 55NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.6N 54.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 55NE 55SE 55SW 55NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 21.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 45.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART |
