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#614877 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:02 AM 09.Jul.2013)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013
1500 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND WATCH FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FROM BARAHONA TO SAMANA AND ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF
HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATTCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARAHONA TO SAMANA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
* GUADELOUPE
* PUERTO RICO
* ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* TURKS AND CAICOS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 61.5W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 61.5W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 60.3W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.8N 65.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.4N 68.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.3N 71.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.3N 73.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 24.5N 76.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 26.5N 77.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 27.5N 78.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 61.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA