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| #614880 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:05 AM 09.Jul.2013) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 1100 AM AST TUE JUL 09 2013 ...CHANTAL MOVING BETWEEN MARTINIQUE AND ST. LUCIA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.4N 61.5W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM NW OF ST. LUCIA ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND WATCH FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM BARAHONA TO SAMANA AND ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARAHONA TO SAMANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICA * ST. LUCIA * MARTINIQUE * GUADELOUPE * PUERTO RICO * ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * TURKS AND CAICOS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE... BARBADOS AND MARTINIQUE RADAR INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST. CHANTAL IS MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 29 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H. WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE BEFORE CHANTAL MOVES OVER HISPANIOLA. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. TRINITY CARABELLE IN THE NORTHEAST TIP OF MARTINIQUE RECENTLY REPORTED WINDS OF NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND REACH PUERTO RICO TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN HAITI BY LATE WEDNESDAY. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... WINDWARD ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO. A STORM SURGE WILL ALSO RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE ENTIRE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES. RAINFALL...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS. 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
