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#615143 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:05 AM 10.Jul.2013) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 11...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 1100 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013 CORRECTED FOR EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME IN HEADER AND TEXT. ...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS THAT CHANTAL IS STILL A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 72.0W ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI * TURKS AND CAICOS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS * JAMAICA INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS EATIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL DESCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...CHANTAL OR ITS REMNANTS WILL MOVE BETWEEN EASTERN CUBA AND JAMAICA TONIGHT AND EMERGE OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS THURSDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. CHANTAL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THIS MORNING...AND REACH HAITI TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS TONIGHT...AND OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY EARLY THURSDAY. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE...ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES...WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2 FEET IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. RAINFALL...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |