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| #624615 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 16.Aug.2013) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052013 1500 UTC FRI AUG 16 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 32.1W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 32.1W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 31.6W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.9N 34.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.1N 36.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.9N 38.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.2N 40.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.1N 44.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 23.5N 49.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 25.5N 52.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 32.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
