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| #624676 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 16.Aug.2013) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052013 2100 UTC FRI AUG 16 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 33.3W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 15SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 33.3W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 32.8W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.8N 35.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.8N 37.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.4N 39.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.9N 41.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.7N 45.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 25.0N 50.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 28.0N 53.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 33.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
